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Re: Firefox Still Gaining on IE But Uptake Slowing
Posted by: Keith Regan 2005-03-01 11:37:26
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The Firefox browser from the Mozilla Foundation has continued to gain market share and erode the dominance of Microsoft's Internet Explorer, but there are signs the juggernaut might be losing steam. WebSideStory said Firefox now holds about 5.7 percent of the browser market. IE's share fell below 90 percent for the first time, at 89.9 percent. WebSideStory said that in a five-week period starting in early January, Firefox grew its market share by 15 percent, compared with 22 percent expansion in the six weeks previous.


Re: Firefox Still Gaining on IE But Uptake Slowing
Posted by: shadowspawn 2005-03-01 12:02:15 In reply to: Keith Regan
I'm not too sure about it slowing down. Maybe for technewsworld.com's server logs, maybe for those sites that are "tech savvy" and are contributing to the numbers based on their own logs are the main factor for the peak.
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Advertising links/iframe/moles are also not a good choice, since the main "coolness" factor is the tools that come with firefox, for free, that block most advertiser's trackers. If advertisers are the main source for the numbers, of course there will be a reduced upward slope on the graph for the simple fact that they are blocked.
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The best way to tell is to gather logs. Well into the millions of "hits" and "sessions" of the data available to me on several diverse-content and unrelated websites, I can state that the trend is still as upwardly smooth (albeit not as much as a spike from the last MS exploit) as it ever was, but it can also be predicted from every flaw (and patch) released on tech newsgroups for Internet Explorer.
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Every time there is a new exploit, there is a slight jump soon afterwards due to corporate IT decisions to secure the networks they control.
After a news quip that hits, say, CNN, the average (for the site's target audience) user will download and try it, causing another spike.
If one looks at traffic for a mix of websites, there is still a solid, undeniable upward trend. From my findings I'd agree with webside's numbers being on the conservative side.
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If one takes a day-to-day or week-to-week comparisons some of these conclusions could be drawn effectively, however if one looks at the "big picture" the evidence of a solid, strong, upward trend cannot be denied.
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What's ironic is that most of the sites that claim Firefox's climb has begun it's stall aren't even designed for anything remotely W3C compliant, which could explain the drop-off in another light.
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If they can't browse it, they will stop going there.
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